Good Evening Everyone,
My apologies for not being able to see my
previous post from Noon today. I was attempting to tweak the layout of this and
got distracted and clicked the wrong button. It made me pretty made for about
10 minutes, and for a split second after I realized I couldn't recover it, I
wanted to break the computer into a million pieces. I spent bout 2 or more
hours on that post this morning. I guess that's life right ?
Everything today has remained pretty
steady with the computer models. Now most media outlets are reporting the same
thing I have been speaking of for the last several days. The biggest change I
have noticed today is how the models are continuing to trend up for an onset of
snow tomorrow.
I am not going to go do in depth as I did
this morning.
For those of you seeing my stuff for the
first time, I really like to have a graphical representation of what I am
talking about so you may see a good bit of pictures here but, I think I can
explain it so you can understand it.
The Onset Tomorrow - Tuesday Morning
Model trends today have continued to show this starting earlier tomorrow morning and possibly starting out as some light and maybe moderate snowfall throughout the day. The key is where will Rain/Snow line be tomorrow ? It will be interesting to see where this line sets up. When you wake up in the morning, you may see some light drizzle or rain around daybreak but, if models hold true by sometime around lunch most areas could be seeing light snow. By tomorrow night most moisture should turn back over to rain as warmer moisture from the Gulf of Mexico enters the area. Whoever gets lucky and gets in on the snow should expect around 1 or 2 Inches however, I would not be surprised if someone picked up a little more tomorrow.
This
is the NAM Model at 4pm tomorrow showing the possibility of a nice area of snow
that has fallen in an area from Columbia North to Greenville.
Now this is just a model and not a forecast so don't be discouraged if you are not included in the snowfall. This could easily shift its track 50 miles either way depending on the exact weather conditions tomorrow morning.
By tomorrow morning I will have access to some really cool stuff I can't wait to show off. It is called the HRRR or the NCEP High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model. This model will use current atmospheric conditions and depict a future radar and does a really good job of verifying and being correct.
I do not anticipate any problems on the roadways tomorrow during the day but, as the sun sets roads will slowly begin to deteriorate.
This is all for tonight as nothing else much has changed on Wednesday into Thursday. Remember, we are under a Winter Storm Warning until mid day Thursday. If you havent began to prepare, now is the time. This will be a significant event that we will remember for some time to come.
I will be up early working on some specifics for tomorrow. I hope to have something comprehensive out by 12 or 1 tomorrow afternoon. Be sure to suscribe to my blog at the bottom of the page and you will get e-mail notifications of a new post.
Till Tomorrow,
Chris
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